Treasuries Rally as Cool CPI Data Cuts July Fed Hike Bets to 20%

Bloomberg 2026-07-14 12:47:05
Context: US Treasuries experienced a significant surge in value following the release of lower-than-expected consumer prices data, which led traders to reassess their bets on Federal Reserve interest-rate hikes. The updated forecasts now suggest a reduced likelihood of a July rate hike. This development has notable implications for the financial markets.

Key Facts

  • The US Treasuries market saw a considerable rally as traders adjusted their expectations for Federal Reserve interest-rate hikes in July, with the odds dropping to 20%, in response to the latest consumer prices data release.
  • The consumer prices data came in lower than forecast, prompting traders to pull back from their previous bets on a Federal Reserve interest-rate hike in July.

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