Clarity odds jump to 43% on Polymarket after unverified reports Trump agreed to ethics deal

CoinDesk 2026-07-21 11:19:18
Context: The odds of passing the Clarity Act, a crypto market structure bill, have jumped to 43% on Polymarket, a prediction market platform, following unverified reports that former US President Donald Trump has agreed to an ethics deal. This surge comes after the bill's odds had plummeted to a record low the previous week. The reports of Trump's agreement remain unconfirmed.

Key Facts

  • The Clarity Act's odds of passing this year have risen to 43% on Polymarket, representing an 11-point increase following the unverified reports of Trump's agreement to an ethics deal.
  • The surge in odds comes after the bill had reached a record low on Polymarket the previous week, indicating a significant shift in market sentiment.
  • Despite the increase in odds, no official bill text has been released, and the reports of Trump's agreement to an ethics deal remain unconfirmed.

Factual Insights via Grasp AI

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